Cold Peace: A Third Path Beyond the Cold War and Hot War: How Should Taiwan Choose?

Cold Peace: Avoiding the New Cold War

A powerful guide to changing the future of humanity!
"The most profound thinker on international affairs today! A must-read for everyone!"
——Joseph Nye, the father of soft power
Leng Heping is,
We have our grievances, and you have your dissatisfactions.
If we can't be a family, at least we can be peaceful.

Michael Doyle,
The greatest international relations scholar of our time proposes an unexpected solution to the new Cold War!
A member of the three major U.S. academies and a double winner of the American Political Science Association's highest honor award,
Former President of the United Nations Endowment for Democracy, and the "Father of Soft Power" Nai Yi.
His ideological context has shaped American diplomatic thinking and the current world situation!

The Cold Peace is Michael Doyle's masterpiece, a culmination of both thought and practice.
A complete analysis of the new Cold War deadlock and future solutions, covering both the past and the present.
A comprehensive perspective that fills the blind spots that are invisible to the world's most popular geopolitical studies.

The world's exclusive "To Taiwan" article, with a grand structure,
The most constructive Traditional Chinese suggestion.

The world is entering its most severe decade!
A new Cold War
The war is driven by three major aspects: "ideology", "economic system" and "geopolitics".
Michael Doyle writes urgently about this dire global situation.
The world of meticulous inspection is moving towards extremes.
An authoritative explanation of the four quadrants of war and peace
Hot war, cold war, cold peace, warm peace.
The Fearless Eagles are the main force of the war, while the Pandas are willing to think.
A thorough understanding of the international situation, this authoritative masterpiece is read by leaders around the world!
A must-read for renowned universities in the US and Taiwan!
The complete chart is presented, nothing is missed!

Turning right is the Cold War, turning left is the Cold Peace.
Taiwan, Crimea, cyber warfare, climate change,
Taiwan is the most critical hub on the four core issues affecting the global situation.
Taiwan is at the center of the conflict;
Taiwan is also the key to whether the world can achieve "cold peace".
It determines whether substantial progress can be made on global issues such as climate change and economic prosperity!

The Cold War was a war without "hot" armed hostilities.
The purpose is to destroy the political independence or territorial integrity of the other party.
Today, what humanity needs is "cold peace".
In the name of common survival and global prosperity,
Put aside subversive and dramatic extremes.

★★★＿＿The world is brewing these questions: Is TikTok China's way of launching a new Cold War against the United States?
Will nations' insidious cyber sabotage of each other escalate into a "21st-century nuclear war"?
Can cyber warfare be avoided by learning from the successful experience of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty?
Is NATO really expanding eastward?
Is there a historical trajectory for NATO's eastward expansion?
Do the US, China and Russia have no other options besides confrontation?
How can Taiwan play the most critical role in the global cold peace?
Does China have the ambitions of a hungry dragon but the heart of a paper tiger?
Is strengthening Taiwan's military defense necessary to determine humanity's future?
No matter how many times China assures, neighboring countries must actively prevent the PLA from expanding its ambiguous borders?

★★★＿＿The omen of a tragic price paid by all humanity has arrived! The situation is more dangerous than the first Cold War!

In 1990, the first Cold War ended. The Berlin Wall fell, the Warsaw Pact collapsed, and, following Russia, young people in China began to voice their calls for democracy. The post-Cold War years were a period of hope and possibility, heralding an opportunity for nations to work together to forge cooperative mechanisms, ending ideological conflict and ushering in a free, peaceful, and stable international order.

But the world failed to seize this opportunity. The West refused to allow Russia to participate in international affairs on an equal footing. This ultimately pushed Russia to the extreme, leading Putin to follow a path similar to that of Mussolini in Italy. Both Russia and China harbor a sense of shame over the collapse of their empires, which gave Xi Jinping the opportunity to manipulate nationalism and rise as a wolf warrior.

Today, optimism seems increasingly distant. Russia's invasion of Ukraine was a harbinger of the terrible price humanity has paid. Today, we once again face the devastating specter of a new Cold War, one centered on Russia, the United States, and China, and made even more dangerous than the first by cyber warfare and more insidious new weapons.

★★★＿＿Why does "cold peace" have a chance?

War, pandemics, nuclear proliferation, cyber warfare, climate change, geopolitical conflicts—it's not impossible that the world, on the verge of a new Cold War, will have to slam on the brakes. Putin is not Stalin, Xi Jinping is not Mao Zedong, and no dictator is a Nazi "modern-day Hitler." The world has also reached an opportunity to build a consensus on economic prosperity and protecting the global environment.

Michael Doyle meticulously takes stock of the chips humanity still has to restore peace, suggesting that while the world's powers may no longer be able to come together amicably, there are at least four bridges that can build rational solutions and negotiation mechanisms to lead the world to peace.

Among them, an important bridge of peace is Taiwan!

★★★＿＿〈To Taiwan〉, an exclusive gift for the Traditional Chinese version, every word is precious!

Michael Doyle meticulously analyzes the necessity of a Cold Peace in four key sections: "The New Cold War," "Sources of Conflict," "The Distant Mirror," and "Cold Peace." Drawing on history and present-day perspectives, he traces the confrontation between totalitarianism and democracy during the First Cold War, tracing the sources of conflict and using them as a mirror for the contemporary world, ultimately arriving at the most definitive conclusion about the New Cold War. Michael Doyle also penned a special preface, "To Taiwan," specifically for readers of the Traditional Chinese edition. Every word is truly precious, and this is a global exclusive!

★★★＿＿Fully presents the four bridges that lead the world to "cold peace"
1. Climate change: The world is a community with a shared future. 2. Crimea and Ukraine: Impact on European politics and economics. 3. Taiwan and China: Including the current situation in the Taiwan Strait and the dispute over freedom of navigation in the South China Sea. 4. Cyber ​​peace: The cyber-destructive exchanges between the US, Russia, and China have reached the point of nuclear-level destruction.
Author Michael Doyle specifically proposes that transforming these four major issues into key bridges can ease the confrontation between major powers and enable humanity to achieve a "cold peace."

★★★＿＿＿《Cold Peace》, more exciting content...

★A new Cold War puts everything at risk!

The emerging new Cold War has two sources. The first is geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, which are the core cause of the destabilization of international power. This is the "Thucydides Trap" created by China's threat to the United States.

The second source is domestic issues within each camp. Both Putin and Xi Jinping hope to "create a world where authoritarian systems can survive safely," while Biden hopes to "create a world where democracies can survive safely."

In the new Cold War, tensions and conflicts are not solely driven by China and Russia. Western liberals condemn authoritarians for widespread human rights violations and impose additional sanctions. For example, the Bush administration invaded Saddam Hussein's Iraq, unnerving authoritarians worldwide and driving them to the brink of collapse, undermining the atmosphere of peace. Meanwhile, multinational corporate elites are alarmed by the prospect of competing with state-owned or state-controlled enterprises in China and Russia. Liberal, democratic, and capitalist states of any kind find it difficult to cooperate with authoritarian regimes that unite nationalism.

A further complicating factor is the First Cold War, a period between the democratic capitalist "First World" and the authoritarian communist "Second World." This gave rise to alliances among developing nations, forming a "Third World" seeking neutrality. Today, Brazil, South Africa, India, Indonesia, and Turkey are also pursuing independent paths, seeking to profit from this new dynamic and distance themselves from the global confrontation between democracy and authoritarianism.

We must remember that during the first Cold War, defense spending alone cost the United States approximately $11 trillion. A second Cold War could be even more expensive: by some indicators, China remains one of the fastest-growing economies and has become the world's largest; and isolating Russia has already exacted a heavy toll on both Europe and Russia. Furthermore, curbing Iranian nuclear proliferation depends on cooperation between the United States and Russia. Whether the Earth remains habitable depends on cooperation between China and the United States in leading the fight against global warming.

★In the new competition, Taiwan's "ideology" and "material interests" are crucial in determining the future of mankind!

From an ideological perspective, island security is the fundamental embodiment of the principle of democratic self-determination, which is crucial to the democratic world. However, for China, Taiwan is the embodiment of its national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the last remaining "province" of the motherland. China's insistence on nationalist, land-based sovereignty is challenging the universal values ​​of democracy and freedom.

In terms of material interests, Taiwan is also crucial to global economic prosperity. Its role in the production of advanced computer chips is comparable to Saudi Arabia's key position in oil strategy. This explains President Biden's commitment to defending the island.

However, there are no clear, concrete, or quick solutions to the struggle between ideology and material interests.

Taiwan must strengthen its military defense capabilities and establish an arms control agreement. At the same time, if both sides of the Taiwan Strait truly desire unification, this can and must be done on the basis of a common and peaceful understanding, finding an appropriate and mutually feasible form, which may help ease some of the tensions.

The Cold War was a war without "hot" armed hostilities, aimed at destroying the political independence or territorial integrity of the other side. What we need today is a cold peace, a detente that puts aside disruptive change in the name of shared survival and global prosperity.

Political systems may conflict, and persuasion and critical debate must be conducted legally. However, armed proxy interventions, subversive cyber warfare, and covert operations targeting domestic political institutions and critical infrastructure should be prohibited and considered illegal use of force. This means reaffirming the international rule of law, reaffirming existing alliances, and improving transatlantic and transpacific trade systems so that all those willing to play by the rules can participate.

★★★＿＿＿Highly praised by international authorities!

Cold peace can cool down the turbulent international situation!
In extreme times, peace advocates are voicing the most intelligent and clear voices!
Joseph Nye, Harvard University professor and the "Father of Soft Power," praised it highly.
Michael O'Hanlon, director of diplomatic studies at the Brookings Institution, strongly recommends:
Publishers Weekly featured an article introducing
A book that provides a thorough understanding of the new Cold War landscape and the future of the world.

Features of this book
1. Michael Doyle, author of "The Cold Peace," is a leading international relations scholar whose thought has shaped American foreign policy and the current world order. This book, a culmination of his scholarship and practice, is the first complete translation of Doyle's magnum opus into Traditional Chinese.

2. "Cold Peace" meticulously analyzes the new Cold War, offering a comprehensive perspective, historically and presently, and providing the most concrete solutions, filling the gaps missed by leading global geopolitical scholars. Further analyzing the origins of the new Cold War conflict, it serves as a crucial guide for humanity to transform its future. If you want to understand the trajectory of the new Cold War, this book provides a comprehensive overview.

3. Leaders around the world compete to read this book; it is designated as a required reading by renowned universities in the United States and Taiwan.

4. Michael Doyle is one of the few contemporary thinkers who possesses a profound understanding of both the theory and practice of international relations. He served as President of the United Nations Endowment for Democracy and former Assistant Secretary-General of the United Nations. Doyle maintains a balanced perspective, refraining from playing both sides, and offers the most intellectually clear voice of our time. Nye, the "Father of Soft Power," commented: "Cold Peace is a must-read."

5. A global exclusive! Doyle's handwritten preface to the Traditional Chinese edition of "To Taiwan" offers advice not only to readers in Taiwan but also to all of humanity. It faithfully presents the present, avoiding exaggerated interpretations of Taiwan within global history and current power structures while meticulously analyzing its crucial position.

6. Key concepts are presented with complete diagrams, making them clear and easy to understand.

Professors strongly recommend the publication of this masterpiece
Liu Birong│Professor of Political Science, Soochow University
Lee Shi-hui | Professor Chiu Shi-yi, College of International Affairs, National Chengchi University | Professor Chang Yan-ting, Department of Political Science, Tunghai University | Professor Chang Meng-ren, Emeritus Chair Professor, Tsinghua University | Fang Tian-ci, Convenor of the Diplomacy and International Affairs Program, Fu Jen Catholic University | Associate Professor Wu Zong-sheng, Center for General Education, Tsinghua University | Tang Zhi-mao, Vice Dean of the College of Social Sciences, Fu Jen Catholic University | Chen Fang-yu, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Soochow University | Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Soochow University
Huang Enhao | Associate Researcher, Institute of National Defense Strategy and Resources, National Defense Security Research Institute
Award-winning record, recommendations from authoritative scholars and heavyweight media
◎ Recognized by major awards such as the American Political Science Association's Charles Merriam Award and the Hubert Humphrey Award.

"One of today's greatest thinkers on international affairs analyzes how to defuse the new Cold War between the United States, China, and Russia. This book is a must-read for anyone hoping to avoid the potential threats of our time!" - Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Distinguished Service Professor at Harvard University and former U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense
"At the world's most dangerous moment, the world's greatest political scientist wisely presents an argument that is elegant, complex, clear, and highly readable." --Michael E. O'Hanlon, Director of Diplomatic Studies at the Brookings Institution and author of "A Military History of Modern Strategists"
"This article examines the pain points in U.S.-China-Russia relations and offers crucial insights into contemporary geopolitical friction." - Publishers Weekly

"A scholar familiar with the realities of politics offers practical policy recommendations. 'Cold Peace' looks back at the unrealized hopes of the 1990s." - Financial Times

"As Doyle's Cold Peace explains, great power competition is not entirely inevitable, and the Cold War was not an inevitable product of great power competition." - The New Republic

"The Cold Peace is an important book and a practical guide to understanding the Second Cold War." — Foreign Policy

2024-03-27

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